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NYSE · US · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

VST Vistra

Nuclear and gas fleet with data-centre offtake

Tight but sold off Its supply chain is tightening but the stock is below its 50-day average — price and fundamentals disagree. (automatic: supply-chain trend + price vs 50-day average)
Last close (delayed) · 2026-10-26
$142.9
+1.96% today
1W
−4.5%
1M
+3.2%
3M
−3.7%
YTD
−11.0%
1Y
−28.7%
Off 52w high
−28.7%
Next earnings (est.): 2026-11-06
Market cap$47.04B
P/E (trailing)23.6Forward 13.5
EV / sales3.6×EV/EBITDA 10.5×
Revenue (TTM)$19.21BGrowth -5.5% y/y
Margins38.3%gross · op 13.8%
Free cash flow$37.12MCash $435M · debt $20.51B
Analyst target$208.9+46.2% upside · 22 analysts · strong buy
Riskβ 1.38Short 3.6% of float · yield 0.65%

Fundamentals from public market data, refreshed daily (2026-10-24 02:59 UTC). Figures in reporting currency.

VST · price with what management and the data said

Supply tighteningBeat / raiseMiss / cutData releaseEasing Hover a numbered marker for details · dashed lines = 50- and 200-day averages

Timeline: management commentary, data & earnings

8 events
  1. 8
    2026-08-10EarningsMiss / cut

    Reported EPS 0.76 vs 1.63 expected (-53.4% surprise).

  2. 7
    2026-05-08EarningsBeat / raise

    Reported EPS 2.87 vs 1.87 expected (+53.4% surprise).

  3. 6
    2026-02-27EarningsMiss / cut

    Reported EPS 0.54 vs 2.3 expected (-76.5% surprise).

  4. 5
    2025-11-07EarningsMiss / cut

    Reported EPS 1.38 vs 1.4 expected (-1.3% surprise).

  5. 4
    2025-08-08EarningsMiss / cut

    Reported EPS 0.71 vs 1.05 expected (-32.5% surprise).

  6. 3
    2025-05-08EarningsMiss / cut

    Reported EPS -0.93 vs 0.61 expected (-251.7% surprise).

  7. 2
    2025-02-28EarningsMiss / cut

    Reported EPS 1.14 vs 1.45 expected (-21.2% surprise).

  8. 1
    2024-11-08EarningsBeat / raise

    Reported EPS 5.25 vs 1.26 expected (+317.0% surprise).

Earnings history

EPS vs expectations
DateExpected EPSReported EPSSurprise
2026-08-101.630.76−53.4%
2026-05-081.872.87+53.4%
2026-02-272.30.54−76.5%
2025-11-071.41.38−1.3%
2025-08-081.050.71−32.5%
2025-05-080.61-0.93−251.7%
2025-02-281.451.14−21.2%
2024-11-081.265.25+317.0%
2024-08-09-0.940.8+185.4%
2024-05-100.970.24−74.9%
2024-02-29-0.910.34+137.7%
2023-11-071.061.25+17.4%
2023-08-090.821.17+42.7%
2023-05-090.4-0.17−142.4%
2023-03-014.34-0.73−116.8%
2022-11-041.931.51−21.6%
2022-08-050.37-3.27−985.7%
2022-05-060.150.14−9.8%
2022-02-251.981.45−26.6%
2021-11-051.150.27−76.5%
2021-08-050.590.07−88.2%
2021-05-04-2.04-2.89−41.7%
2021-02-260.190.32+68.4%
2020-11-041.050.83−21.0%

About Vistra

Website ↗

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and…

6,390 employees · Irving, United States

Hyperscalers buy electrons with duration. Existing reactors, uprates and restarts are the only large firm carbon-free supply available this decade.

Fuel→Reactor→PPA→Campus

What would prove us wrong. Weakens if hyperscaler PPAs stall and merchant power prices fall without demand growth.

Peers at the same bottleneck

Who else supplies this

StockRoleLast1D1MYTDTrend
CEG
Constellation Energy
Largest US nuclear fleet; hyperscaler PPAs $253.6+0.06%−3.7%−27.9%
TLN
Talen Energy
Nuclear-adjacent campus power $340.7+3.90%+11.9%−9.1%
PEG
Public Service Enterprise Group
Nuclear fleet in PJM $72.18+0.23%+7.7%−7.8%

Not investment advice. Prices delayed and in local currency. Quotes in "double quotes" are verbatim as reported by the linked source; other commentary is our paraphrase. Earnings dates are estimates.