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NYSE · Taiwan · Semiconductors

TSM Taiwan Semiconductor

Leading-node foundry and CoWoS packaging chokepoint

Demand > supply CEO: demand–supply gap 'still quite big'; Q4 guided ~58% y/y growth. CoWoS still the default for AI chips.
Last close (delayed) · 2026-10-26
$425.4
+1.64% today
1W
+1.2%
1M
−5.6%
3M
+8.7%
YTD
+41.1%
1Y
+45.7%
Off 52w high
−12.4%
Next earnings (est.): 2027-01-14
Market cap$2.17T
P/E (trailing)27.1Forward 17.9
EV / sales2.8×EV/EBITDA 3.9×
Revenue (TTM)NT$4.94TGrowth 50.9% y/y
Margins65.8%gross · op 58.7%
Free cash flowNT$1.20TCash NT$4.02T · debt NT$818B
Analyst target$584.4+37.4% upside · 20 analysts · strong buy
Riskβ 1.24Short 0.6% of float · yield 0.91%

Fundamentals from public market data, refreshed daily (2026-10-24 02:59 UTC). Figures in reporting currency.

TSM · price with what management and the data said

Supply tighteningBeat / raiseMiss / cutData releaseEasing Hover a numbered marker for details · dashed lines = 50- and 200-day averages

Timeline: management commentary, data & earnings

9 events
  1. 9
    2026-10-15C.C. Wei, CEO (Q3 call)Supply tightening

    "The demand is extremely robust. We did not see any sign of slowdown." and "The gap between demand and supply are still quite big." Gross margin 66.4%. Source ↗

  2. 8
    2026-10-08TSMC monthly revenueData release

    September revenue NT$511.9B, +54.6% y/y (−0.6% m/m vs record August). Q3 revenue a record NT$1.49T, above the top of guidance. Source ↗

  3. 7
    2026-07-16EarningsBeat / raise

    Reported EPS 4.31 vs 3.89 expected (+10.9% surprise).

  4. 6
    2026-04-15EarningsBeat / raise

    Reported EPS 3.49 vs 3.33 expected (+4.7% surprise).

  5. 5
    2026-01-15EarningsBeat / raise

    Reported EPS 3.14 vs 2.98 expected (+5.5% surprise).

  6. 4
    2025-10-15EarningsBeat / raise

    Reported EPS 2.92 vs 2.63 expected (+11.2% surprise).

  7. 3
    2025-07-17EarningsBeat / raise

    Reported EPS 2.47 vs 2.31 expected (+6.8% surprise).

  8. 2
    2025-04-17EarningsBeat / raise

    Reported EPS 2.12 vs 2.05 expected (+3.2% surprise).

  9. 1
    2025-01-16EarningsBeat / raise

    Reported EPS 2.24 vs 2.22 expected (+0.7% surprise).

Earnings history

EPS vs expectations
DateExpected EPSReported EPSSurprise
2026-10-154.524.6+1.7%
2026-07-163.894.31+10.9%
2026-04-153.333.49+4.7%
2026-01-152.983.14+5.5%
2025-10-152.632.92+11.2%
2025-07-172.312.47+6.8%
2025-04-172.052.12+3.2%
2025-01-162.222.24+0.7%
2024-10-171.791.94+8.4%
2024-07-181.421.48+4.0%
2024-04-181.321.38+4.5%
2024-01-181.371.44+5.1%
2023-10-181.171.29+10.3%
2023-07-201.081.14+5.5%
2023-04-201.191.31+10.2%
2023-01-121.761.82+3.4%
2022-10-131.681.79+6.3%
2022-07-131.51.55+3.0%
2022-04-141.311.4+6.9%
2022-01-131.121.15+2.7%
2021-10-141.041.07+3.4%
2021-07-150.920.93+0.9%
2021-04-150.930.96+2.8%
2021-01-140.940.97+2.7%

About Taiwan Semiconductor

Website ↗

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It provides various wafer fabrication processes, such as processes to manufacture complementary metal- oxide-semiconductor (CMOS) logic, mixed-signal, radio frequency, embedded memory, bipolar CMOS mixed-signal, and others. The company also involved in providing customer and engineering support services; manufacturing of masks; investment in technology start-up companies; research, designing, developing, manufacturing, packaging, testing, and sale of color filters; and investment activities. Its products are used in high performance computing, smartphones, Internet of things, automotive, and digital consumer electroni…

76,907 employees · Hsinchu City, Taiwan

One company produces almost all leading-edge AI logic. N3/N2 capacity is allocated years ahead and every new fab is a multi-year, tens-of-billions bet.

EUV + tools→Wafer starts→Leading-node logic→Packaging

What would prove us wrong. Weakens if leading-node utilisation falls while packaging and HBM stay loose — logic would no longer bind.

An accelerator is useless until logic and HBM are integrated on an interposer. 2.5D/3D capacity, hybrid bonders and TC bonders gate output.

Interposer→Bonding→Assembly→Module

What would prove us wrong. Weakens if CoWoS expansions run ahead of accelerator demand and OSAT utilisation drops.

Peers at the same bottleneck

Who else supplies this

StockRoleLast1D1MYTDTrend
INTC
Intel
US foundry rebuild with advanced-packaging optionality $90.78+4.39%−26.2%+146.0%
005930.KS
Samsung Electronics
HBM, DRAM and foundry across memory and logic ₩213,000−1.16%−22.3%+78.2%
GFS
GlobalFoundries
Specialty-node foundry incl. silicon photonics $45.34+2.14%−7.5%+30.4%
UMC
United Microelectronics
Mature-node foundry and interposer capacity $19.14+1.30%−21.3%+147.7%
ASX
ASE Technology
Largest OSAT; takes CoWoS-class overflow $39.70+2.60%−10.4%+149.0%
AMKR
Amkor Technology
Advanced packaging OSAT incl. US capacity $37.63−4.25%−29.8%−4.2%
BESI.AS
BE Semiconductor
Hybrid bonding equipment leader €147.2+1.45%−21.5%+10.8%
042700.KS
Hanmi Semiconductor
TC bonders for HBM stacking ₩184,000−3.66%−22.2%+44.9%
6146.T
Disco
Dicing and grinding for thin wafers and HBM ¥48,410−1.79%−8.9%+1.4%

Not investment advice. Prices delayed and in local currency. Quotes in "double quotes" are verbatim as reported by the linked source; other commentary is our paraphrase. Earnings dates are estimates.