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Home/Sectors/Physical AI
Physical AI

Robots, humanoids, robotaxis, drones

Reducers, bearings, servos, sensors and edge compute decide where AI leaves the data center and does paid physical work.

What stops robots and autonomy from scaling to serial volume?

Themes
9
Stocks
45
1M index
−8.6%
% in uptrend
27%

Physical AI index vs S&P 500

Equal-weight, rebased to 100 · 1Y
Bottlenecks

9 bottlenecks in Physical AI

Sorted by tightness score. Click through for supply chain, dimension scores, names and falsifier.

Japan / China ▲ Tightening

Precision Reducers

64

Every robot joint needs a strain-wave or RV reducer. Two Japanese firms dominate; Chinese suppliers are scaling fast.

Lead time6–12 mo
1M−10.6%
YTD+33.0%
US / Israel ▲ Tightening

Drones & Defence Autonomy

60

Autonomous systems are now central to defence budgets. Motors, batteries and sensors with non-China supply chains are scarce.

Lead time6–18 mo
1M−14.5%
YTD−26.3%
Japan / China / US ■ Stable

Vision, LiDAR & Tactile Sensing

58

Robots and vehicles see through CMOS sensors and LiDAR. Dexterous manipulation still lacks good, cheap tactile sensing.

Lead time6–12 mo
1M−5.2%
YTD+21.1%
Japan / China / US ■ Stable

Servo Motors & Drives

54

Motors and drives are the muscle of automation, and rely on rare-earth magnets that come mostly from China.

Lead time3–9 mo
1M−10.1%
YTD−8.5%
US / China / Israel ▲ Tightening

Autonomy & Robotaxi

52

Driverless fleets are scaling city by city. Sensors, compute, mapping and permits gate the rollout.

Lead time12–24 mo
1M−9.0%
YTD−29.1%
Japan / EU / US ■ Stable

Bearings, Screws & Linear Motion

50

Humanoids use planetary roller screws and precision bearings in quantity. Roller-screw capacity is small and specialised.

Lead time6–9 mo
1M−6.9%
YTD+11.9%
US / UK ■ Stable

Robot Brains (Edge Compute)

48

Running vision-language-action models on the robot needs power-efficient edge accelerators — a smaller cousin of the datacentre race.

Lead time6–12 mo
1M−9.7%
YTD+27.1%
US / EU / Japan ■ Stable

Factory Automation & Integration

46

Reshoring and labour scarcity push automation spend. Integrators and controls vendors are the existing, profitable expression of physical AI.

Lead time6–12 mo
1M−3.8%
YTD+15.3%
US / China / Japan / Korea ▲ Tightening

Robot Platforms & Humanoids

44

Pilots and funding are real; paid serial deployments are early. Public exposure is mostly incumbents and Chinese platforms.

Lead time12–36 mo
1M−7.5%
YTD−30.1%
Stocks

Every stock in Physical AI

Sorted by 1-month performance. Roles, not recommendations.

NameRoleRegionLast1D1MYTDOff highTrend
6758.T
Sony Group
Image sensor leader Japan ¥4,135.0 −0.05% +13.4% +3.6% −11.3%
300124.SZ
Shenzhen Inovance
Chinese servo and automation leader China ¥55.25 +3.27% +7.1% −26.2% −31.8%
TSLA
Tesla
Megapack storage, Optimus and autonomy US $394.9 +6.08% +6.1% −12.2% −19.4%
ESLT
Elbit Systems
Defence autonomy and electronics Israel $773.6 +5.20% +5.4% +34.4% −23.4%
ZBRA
Zebra Technologies
Warehouse robotics and scanning US $388.4 +0.50% +5.0% +60.0% −0.7%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
Imaging sensors and instruments US $641.8 +2.62% +4.5% +25.7% −7.2%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
Automotive and edge processors Netherlands $248.3 +5.70% +4.3% +15.9% −24.8%
1810.HK
Xiaomi
Consumer, EV and robotics platform China HK$26.90 +0.37% +2.8% −31.4% −43.6%
SKF-B.ST
SKF
Bearings and linear motion Sweden kr 275.4 +2.19% +2.6% +15.5% −0.3%
EMR
Emerson Electric
Process automation and controls US $162.2 +0.41% +2.5% +23.6% −1.0%
688017.SS
Leaderdrive
Chinese strain-wave reducers China ¥293.0 +1.03% +0.8% +52.6% −39.9%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
Industrial automation and controls US $431.6 +1.29% −0.6% +12.0% −12.6%
CGNX
Cognex
Machine vision US $57.01 +2.63% −2.8% +59.1% −21.2%
APTV
Aptiv
Vehicle architecture and autonomy hardware US $43.45 +1.77% −3.0% −42.9% −51.0%
NVDA
NVIDIA
Demand aggregator for HBM, packaging, optics and robotics compute US $216.0 +2.38% −4.0% +16.1% −9.7%
TKR
Timken
Bearings and power transmission US $111.6 +2.05% −5.0% +33.8% −23.0%
6954.T
Fanuc
Industrial robots and CNC Japan ¥5,639.0 +0.93% −5.2% −5.2% −32.3%
UBER
Uber Technologies
Demand aggregator for robotaxi fleets US $66.00 −1.05% −5.2% −19.2% −33.8%
RBC
RBC Bearings
Precision bearings US $478.4 +1.35% −5.5% +6.7% −26.3%
SIE.DE
Siemens
Factory automation and industrial software Germany €261.4 +1.79% −6.1% +11.6% −9.8%
GOOGL
Alphabet
Waymo driverless fleet and TPUs US $318.4 −0.58% −7.4% +1.9% −20.8%
6471.T
NSK
Precision bearings and ball screws Japan ¥995.6 +0.69% −7.9% +5.2% −27.1%
AMBA
Ambarella
Edge vision AI SoCs US $66.35 −0.23% −8.7% −6.3% −30.5%
XPEV
XPeng
EVs, humanoids and autonomy China $9.12 −1.03% −9.9% −55.0% −67.5%
6503.T
Mitsubishi Electric
Factory automation and servos Japan ¥4,696.0 −1.55% −10.4% +3.6% −28.0%
SYM
Symbotic
Warehouse robotics systems US $38.79 −1.25% −10.8% −34.8% −55.6%
6481.T
THK
Linear guides and screws Japan ¥5,522.0 −0.88% −11.4% +39.6% −31.8%
QCOM
Qualcomm
Edge AI SoCs for robots and vehicles US $178.4 +1.41% −11.7% +5.9% −28.3%
6506.T
Yaskawa Electric
Servos, drives and industrial robots Japan ¥3,980.0 −1.04% −11.7% −15.2% −47.6%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
Unmanned combat aircraft and engines US $40.12 +3.72% −12.1% −47.1% −69.3%
6268.T
Nabtesco
RV reducers for industrial robots Japan ¥4,140.0 +0.53% −13.0% +11.3% −28.9%
ABBN.SW
ABB
Electrification, drives and robotics Switzerland CHF 69.68 +2.80% −13.1% +19.4% −21.3%
9880.HK
UBTech Robotics
Humanoid robot maker China HK$68.50 +0.44% −13.3% −45.8% −52.8%
SHA0.DE
Schaeffler
Bearings and humanoid actuators Germany €5.69 +5.57% −14.2% −29.4% −50.4%
HSAI
Hesai Group
Largest LiDAR maker by volume China $13.78 +4.91% −15.2% −38.5% −52.1%
MBLY
Mobileye
ADAS and autonomy stack Israel $6.61 +0.99% −17.8% −36.7% −50.9%
AVAV
AeroVironment
Small drones and loitering munitions US $124.4 +0.94% −18.2% −48.6% −68.3%
6324.T
Harmonic Drive Systems
Strain-wave gears for robot joints Japan ¥5,090.0 +3.98% −19.7% +35.2% −42.7%
005380.KS
Hyundai Motor
Owner of Boston Dynamics Korea ₩288,000 −2.54% −19.8% −1.5% −61.4%
PONY
Pony AI
Robotaxi operator China $5.04 −2.04% −26.9% −65.3% −77.0%
ARM
Arm Holdings
CPU IP inside custom accelerators, servers and edge devices UK $222.8 +5.92% −28.2% +103.8% −49.3%
OUST
Ouster
Digital LiDAR for industrial and robotics US $30.07 +1.28% −31.2% +39.0% −51.9%
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings
US-made small drones US $4.46 +0.56% −33.1% −43.8% −74.3%
6594.T
Nidec
Motors and actuators Japan ¥1,708.0 +0.18% −39.5% −19.9% −41.1%
6861.T
Keyence
Machine vision and factory sensors Japan ¥77,270 −1.42% 0.0% +37.5% −11.5%